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Can you call the stock market? Equity analyst says he can

Posted in finance

Meet the Nikkei Magic Man.


On the 10th day of every month, Junsuke Senoguchi has just one thing on his mind: the closing level of the Nikkei average.

That is because Senoguchi, an unassuming man in his late 40s, has built a machine that has been predicting the direction of Japanese shares, and once a month he gets a progress report on its success. The model makes a simple call — whether the equity index will be higher or lower after 30 days — and over almost four years it has been right 68 percent of the time.

“I’m so happy” when it works, said Senoguchi, a senior equity strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co. in Tokyo. “It’s because I feel I can predict the future.”

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